Lionello, Valeria (2016) The effects of global disasterrisk: an empirical analysis. [Magistrali biennali]
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This empirical analysis investigates the effects of disaster risk shocks in open economies, and to which extent a heterogeneous exposure to disaster risk can be considered as an explanation for differences in their impact across countries. Results appear in line with the main theoretical models proposed in the literature, since they suggest a recession following a disaster shock, and show an interest rate evolution consistent with the hypothesis of an increase in precautionary savings from risk-averse investors when disaster risk increases. Attention is given to exchange rate dynamics, countries’ relative riskiness and their relation with interest rates.
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